Hurricane Erin is currently a Category 4 storm moving over the Atlantic Ocean, tracking northwards towards the US and Canada. It is not expected to make direct landfall in Europe or the UK.
The storm’s rapid intensification has been fuelled by unusually warm Atlantic waters, conditions strongly linked to climate change.
UK Weather Impact Forecast
The remnants of Hurricane Erin are forecast to reach the UK as an area of low pressure shortly after the August Bank Holiday, arriving mid-to-late next week.
Expected Effects in the UK:
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Unsettled conditions: Wet and at times windy, especially across the North and West. Rain bands could stretch across 600 miles, with heavier bursts delivering up to 5mm per hour, although most areas will see 0.2–3mm per hour.
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Timing: Rain is most likely from Wednesday 27 August onwards, following a settled and warm Bank Holiday weekend.
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Forecast confidence: The precise strength and track of Erin’s post-tropical low remain uncertain, with confidence levels described as highly variable.
Importantly, no hurricane-force winds are expected. By the time Erin reaches the UK, it will have transitioned into a post-tropical storm system, bringing typical rain and wind rather than hurricane conditions.
Current Outlook
The UK is currently enjoying a spell of consistent summer warmth, which is expected to continue into early next week. In some areas, temperatures could rise to 27°C.
Major outdoor events such as the Notting Hill Carnival and Reading Festival look set to benefit from largely dry and warm conditions over the Bank Holiday weekend. However, as Erin’s remnants move closer by mid-week, the weather is likely to turn wetter and breezier, especially in northern and western regions.
